Vigor Lamezia vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AKR
11 - 1
VIG
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 2
LEC
8%
20%
72%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JUS
4 - 2
VIG
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 2
CAS
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SSB
3 - 3
VIG
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAG
69%
21%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
RAA
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |