Vigor Lamezia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIG
4 - 0
EBO
33%
26%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 2
VIG
78%
16%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
VIG
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIG
3 - 1
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 0
VIG
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 1
FCC
29%
28%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
FON
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
GAV
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |