Vigor Lamezia vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
VIG
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EBO
0 - 0
VIG
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIG
2 - 0
PRG
29%
28%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
VIG
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIG
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
VIG
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
PAG
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |