Vigontina vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigontina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ACE
2 - 1
VIG
67%
18%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIG
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIG
3 - 2
LEG
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
VIG
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIG
2 - 4
ECL
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
ABA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
VIG
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 4
MES
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
BEL
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 4
MES
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |