Vigevano Calcio vs Vergiatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigevano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
VIG
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
VIG
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 2
FEN
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 0
VIG
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 3
BUS
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Vergiatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
VER
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 0
VER
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
VAR
22%
22%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
ACC
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |