Vigevano Calcio vs Ardor Lazzate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigevano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TRE
4 - 0
VIG
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 1
ARC
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 1
VIG
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
ACC
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 0
VIG
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Ardor Lazzate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARD
3 - 1
ARC
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ACC
2 - 5
ARD
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
MAG
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VER
0 - 4
ARD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 6
VER
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |