Vigasio vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigasio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
VIG
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIG
1 - 0
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CLO
0 - 0
VIG
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VIG
2 - 0
CAL
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
GSD
2 - 0
VIG
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MES
0 - 1
CAL
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
SDA
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
MES
10%
20%
71%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MES
2 - 3
LEG
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |