UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-4
Fehérvár vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
STR
2 - 0
FHV
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
KTE
0 - 1
FHV
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
UJP
1 - 0
FHV
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
FHV
2 - 3
KTE
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FHV
2 - 1
GYO
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
RIE
1 - 1
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
STR
2 - 0
FHV
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
WIN
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 2
STR
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LAS
0 - 2
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |