Q. Europa League Play-offs. Final
Global 0-4
Fehérvár vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MTK
1 - 0
FHV
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
LPO
3 - 0
FHV
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 1
FHV
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FHV
1 - 3
FTC
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BAT
1 - 0
FHV
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 1
PGL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
LPO
3 - 0
FHV
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 1
LPO
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 2
LPO
16%
22%
62%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 0
KOR
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |