UCL Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 2-3
Fehérvár vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 3
FHV
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
FHV
0 - 0
MFF
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
FHV
1 - 1
DVS
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
MFF
1 - 1
FHV
53%
26%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FHV
1 - 0
LUD
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 1
AEK
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
AEK
3 - 2
GAL
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ATR
0 - 0
AEK
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 0
AEK
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |