Victoria Rosport vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
16º
11º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Rosport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USM
1 - 6
VIC
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 3
DIF
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
VIC
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
VIC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 1
ETZ
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
KAE
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
F91
0 - 4
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
1 - 5
SWI
4%
10%
87%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SWI
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
USM
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |