Victoria Rosport vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
16º
11º
70
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Rosport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
JEU
2 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
WIL
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 2
SCH
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 0
KAE
45%
23%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
F91
2 - 0
VIC
77%
15%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
KAE
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
F91
1 - 4
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
EIN
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 1
PRO
11%
16%
73%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 2
USM
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |