Vicenza vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
CRO
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
VIC
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 2
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIC
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIV
18%
26%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
VIR
74%
19%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
EMP
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LEO
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIR
68%
20%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |