Vicenza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CTT
2 - 2
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
CRO
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
VIC
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
CTT
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |