Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
LAT
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
4 - 1
VIC
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIC
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
SAL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAL
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |