Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Vicenza vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIC
38%
26%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 1
VIC
17%
26%
57%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
1 - 0
TRI
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 1
VIC
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
2 - 1
CLO
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIC
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
FER
2 - 1
CRO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 1
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CRO
0 - 0
JS2
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRO
23%
24%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |