Vicenza vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
CTT
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 5
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
3 - 0
FRO
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 3
ABN
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 4
CRO
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
25%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |