Vicenza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 1
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 0
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 3
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAR
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
CES
27%
28%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CES
0 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
CES
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |