Vicenza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIC
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 1
VIC
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
VIC
0 - 2
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 1
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 0
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |