Viby vs ASA Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
4º
17
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VIB
0 - 7
VFF
3%
9%
88%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 5
VIB
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
KJE
0 - 7
VIB
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VIB
1 - 2
AAB
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
VRI
1 - 0
VIB
14%
18%
69%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
4 - 1
KJE
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 5
ASA
30%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
AAR
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 1
ASA
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 3
ODD
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |