Vianense vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
61%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
10º
10º
20
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
VIA
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 3
FAF
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
TRO
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
ANA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
TRO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
FAF
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |