Vianense vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
10º
10º
18
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
VIA
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIA
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
TRO
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
VAR
28%
28%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |