Vianense vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIA
1 - 0
AMA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIA
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIA
5 - 0
CER
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
MIR
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |