Vianense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
JOA
0 - 1
VIA
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2004 |
VIA
1 - 3
BOA
9%
19%
72%
|
35 | 80 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VIA
1 - 2
GFC
23%
21%
57%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
VST
4 - 1
VIA
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
VIA
0 - 1
VST
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 4
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |