Vianense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
10º
10º
26
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
VIA
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 0
CAN
31%
29%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 0
VIA
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIA
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 1
TRO
14%
25%
61%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
ANA
51%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
FAF
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 0
VIA
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 4
FAF
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |