Vianense vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
10º
10º
25
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
VIA
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 1
LUS
19%
26%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIA
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
VIA
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
MAR
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 4
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |