Vianense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.4%
75.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIA
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIA
0 - 2
MIR
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
2 - 3
VIA
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
1 - 1
MIN
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OSL
1 - 1
VIA
39%
27%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 2
SLB
67%
20%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
PAÇ
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
SLB
2 - 0
AST
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SLB
6 - 0
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |