Neuss vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
BSC
0 - 1
NEU
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
NEU
1 - 1
EID
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
ROT
4 - 1
NEU
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
NEU
1 - 0
F95
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1968 |
SWE
2 - 0
NEU
65%
19%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HAM
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
ROT
4 - 0
KÖL
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
BSC
3 - 3
KÖL
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
KÖL
0 - 2
EID
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1968 |
ROT
2 - 0
KÖL
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |