Neuss vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ROT
4 - 0
NEU
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
HAM
3 - 2
NEU
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
NEU
3 - 3
KÖL
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
BSC
0 - 1
NEU
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
NEU
1 - 1
EID
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ARB
2 - 0
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ARB
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ARB
3 - 0
BSC
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
EID
0 - 2
ARB
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
ARB
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |