VfR Mannheim vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
3º
10º
3º
45
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
95 | 95 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
90% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 2
VFR
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 0
REU
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
VFR
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
5 - 0
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCZ
1 - 5
VFR
28%
21%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
RAV
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 2
NOR
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
TSV
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
OBE
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 3
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |