VfR Garching vs Schalding-Heining analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
14º
17º
15º
73
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VRG
1 - 0
186
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 3
VRG
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VRG
0 - 2
TSV
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TSA
2 - 1
VRG
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 1
VRG
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DEI
0 - 2
SCH
24%
21%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
DAC
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 5
SCH
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
186
1 - 2
SCH
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |