VfR Garching vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VRG
0 - 2
ROS
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VRG
2 - 0
LAN
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VRG
1 - 1
BUC
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
186
2 - 1
VRG
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 2
BAY
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAY
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HOF
1 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ING
2 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
UNT
14%
20%
67%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
WAC
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |