VfR Garching vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MEM
3 - 0
VRG
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 1
VRG
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 1
SEL
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
3 - 1
VRG
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 2
ING
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
SEL
2 - 0
GRE
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ING
1 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 3
AUG
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
186
2 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |