VfR Garching vs FC Pipinsried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
17º
17º
47
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 1
VRG
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VRG
1 - 2
ISM
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KOT
4 - 1
VRG
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SON
4 - 3
VRG
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 2
KIR
29%
24%
48%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Pipinsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SON
0 - 1
FCP
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 1
FCP
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 2
ERL
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 1
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 0
TSA
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |