VfR Garching vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
VRG
3 - 1
UNT
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
VRG
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
NUR
0 - 1
VRG
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
VRG
1 - 1
ING
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
SEL
0 - 2
VRG
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
1 - 1
BAY
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 3
BAY
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
AUG
2 - 0
BUC
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 3
ING
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BUC
1 - 3
FCP
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |