VfR Garching vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VRG
1 - 8
UNT
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 3
VRG
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WAC
3 - 1
VRG
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VRG
3 - 1
SEL
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
VRG
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
186
1 - 1
BAY
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAY
2 - 0
BAY
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ING
1 - 0
BAY
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 4
UNT
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 5
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |