VfR Baumholder vs Cosmos Koblenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
47.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
20º
17º
47
7º
20º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Baumholder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 1
VRB
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VRB
3 - 2
AWA
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
4 - 0
VRB
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VRB
1 - 1
MEC
14%
17%
70%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GON
0 - 1
VRB
91%
7%
3%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
PFE
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
COS
1 - 2
KOB
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 4
COS
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COS
1 - 2
ARL
15%
16%
69%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 4
COS
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |