VfR Baumholder vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis

VfR Baumholder Arminia Ludwigshafen
11 ELO 30
2.1% Tilt -1.9%
50622º General ELO ranking 4709º
2568º Country ELO ranking 225º
ELO win probability
4.9%
VfR Baumholder
9.6%
Draw
85.5%
Arminia Ludwigshafen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
VfR Baumholder
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
85.4%
Win probability
Arminia Ludwigshafen
3.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.8%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8.4%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

VfR Baumholder
Their league position
Arminia Ludwigshafen
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
20º
17º
51
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Trier
99
99
100%
Gonsenheim
78
78
100%
FK Pirmasens
72
72
100%
Kaiserslautern II
68
68
100%
Wormatia Worms
66
66
100%
RW Koblenz
61
61
0%
Auersmacher
61
61
0%
Morlautern
58
58
100%
Diefflen
55
55
100%
Engers 07
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Arminia Ludwigshafen
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Karbach
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Mechtersheim
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cosmos Koblenz
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Dudenhofen
16º
42
42
16º
100%
VfR Baumholder
17º
35
35
17º
100%
SpVgg Quierschied
18º
30
30
18º
0%
Pfeddersheim
19º
30
30
19º
0%
FC Bitburg
20º
20
20
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfR Baumholder
Arminia Ludwigshafen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

VfR Baumholder
Arminia Ludwigshafen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfR Baumholder
VfR Baumholder
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2023
VRB
VfR Baumholder
4 - 4
Auersmacher
AUE
5%
11%
84%
7 37 30 0
25 Aug. 2023
PIR
FK Pirmasens
5 - 0
VfR Baumholder
VRB
89%
8%
3%
7 44 37 0
19 Aug. 2023
VRB
VfR Baumholder
1 - 2
Dudenhofen
DUD
5%
11%
83%
7 31 24 0
16 Aug. 2023
KAR
Karbach
1 - 0
VfR Baumholder
VRB
93%
5%
2%
7 37 30 0
12 Aug. 2023
VRB
VfR Baumholder
0 - 3
Eintracht Trier
EIN
5%
11%
84%
9 35 26 -2

Matches

Arminia Ludwigshafen
Arminia Ludwigshafen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2023
ARL
Arminia Ludwigshafen
6 - 3
Pfeddersheim
PFE
40%
22%
38%
28 31 3 0
03 Sep. 2023
BIT
FC Bitburg
5 - 3
Arminia Ludwigshafen
ARL
6%
10%
84%
30 11 19 -2
26 Aug. 2023
GON
Gonsenheim
7 - 0
Arminia Ludwigshafen
ARL
71%
16%
13%
31 41 10 -1
19 Aug. 2023
ARL
Arminia Ludwigshafen
1 - 0
Diefflen
DIE
34%
21%
46%
30 33 3 +1
16 Aug. 2023
AUE
Auersmacher
4 - 0
Arminia Ludwigshafen
ARL
51%
20%
29%
31 34 3 -1