VfR Aalen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 2
VFR
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 0
STU
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SGS
2 - 0
VFR
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
PRE
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SGD
4 - 0
VFR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ERF
1 - 0
SVS
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
OSN
1 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 2
KÖL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ERF
2 - 1
WER
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |