VfR Aalen vs Mainz 05 II analysis

VfR Aalen Mainz 05 II
66 ELO 59
-19.2% Tilt -9.3%
3947º General ELO ranking 3450º
166º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
50%
VfR Aalen
26.8%
Draw
23.2%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
VfR Aalen
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.2%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfR Aalen
-15%
+3%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

VfR Aalen
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfR Aalen
VfR Aalen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2016
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 2
VfR Aalen
VFR
45%
28%
27%
66 67 1 0
18 Nov. 2016
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
39%
29%
32%
66 66 0 0
05 Nov. 2016
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 0
VfR Aalen
VFR
48%
26%
26%
66 66 0 0
28 Oct. 2016
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 1
Zwickau
ZWI
56%
26%
18%
67 56 11 -1
22 Oct. 2016
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 2
VfR Aalen
VFR
40%
27%
33%
65 59 6 +2

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 0
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
25%
27%
49%
58 68 10 0
19 Nov. 2016
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
57%
24%
20%
58 64 6 0
05 Nov. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
0 - 2
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
31%
27%
42%
59 64 5 -1
29 Oct. 2016
ROS
Hansa Rostock
1 - 1
Mainz 05 II
MAI
54%
25%
22%
59 64 5 0
23 Oct. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
2 - 0
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
37%
27%
36%
58 60 2 +1