VfR Aalen vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ERF
2 - 0
VFR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
WUR
45%
29%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STU
1 - 1
VFR
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
SGS
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PRE
0 - 2
VFR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 2
SVS
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OSN
1 - 1
MAI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 1
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
5 - 1
MAI
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 2
WER
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |