VfR Aalen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WEH
1 - 2
VFR
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
WUR
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 2
SGF
24%
24%
53%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 1
VFR
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 2
WER
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
FSV
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
S04
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
SON
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
EIN
0 - 0
HOL
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |