VfR Aalen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 2
VFR
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PRE
2 - 1
VFR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VFR
2 - 0
FSV
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 4
VFR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VFR
2 - 0
SGS
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KÖL
0 - 0
FSV
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
0 - 0
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SGS
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 1
KÖL
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SSV
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |