VfR Aalen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
VFR
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WER
1 - 1
VFR
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 0
HAL
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 0
VFR
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VFR
2 - 2
ERF
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SVS
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
KÖL
3 - 1
OSN
30%
27%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 0
KÖL
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
KÖL
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WER
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |