VfR Aalen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 1
SGF
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 2
HOF
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SVS
2 - 0
VFR
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 1
ING
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
KAI
1 - 0
VFR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 1
DAR
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
F95
2 - 3
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RBL
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |