VfR Aachen-Forst vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
77.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
KOL
2 - 1
GOH
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
KOL
1 - 0
OFC
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
F95
2 - 0
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
KOL
2 - 3
ARB
76%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
KOL
1 - 0
KÖL
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |