VfL Osnabrück vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
HSV
5 - 0
OSN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
OSN
2 - 3
WUR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
OSN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 0
OSN
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 3
F95
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ERZ
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 1
EBT
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ERZ
4 - 1
KSC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |