VfL Osnabrück vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

VfL Osnabrück Bayreuth SpVgg
68 ELO 55
1.1% Tilt 30.7%
1175º General ELO ranking 2695º
53º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
69.1%
VfL Osnabrück
19.5%
Draw
11.4%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
VfL Osnabrück
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.3%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Osnabrück
+5%
-16%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Points and table prediction

VfL Osnabrück
Their league position
Bayreuth SpVgg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
16º
32
15º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfL Osnabrück
Bayreuth SpVgg
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

VfL Osnabrück
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 4
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
22%
24%
54%
68 62 6 0
04 Feb. 2023
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
54%
24%
22%
67 60 7 +1
28 Jan. 2023
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
22%
23%
55%
67 58 9 0
24 Jan. 2023
BOR
B. Dortmund II
1 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
19%
22%
59%
66 57 9 +1
14 Jan. 2023
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 1
Viktoria Köln
VIK
40%
26%
34%
65 64 1 +1

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 3
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
15%
21%
64%
54 68 14 0
03 Feb. 2023
FRE
Freiburg II
2 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
55%
25%
20%
55 63 8 -1
28 Jan. 2023
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 0
Ingolstadt 04
ING
23%
25%
52%
54 63 9 +1
21 Jan. 2023
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
4 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
51%
24%
25%
54 58 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
36%
25%
39%
53 58 5 +1