VfB Uerdingen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Uerdingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KLE
3 - 2
VUE
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VUE
2 - 1
NET
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 0
VUE
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
RHE
2 - 2
VUE
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
VUE
0 - 1
SPV
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VFB
1 - 3
RHE
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SPV
4 - 0
VFB
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
VFB
4 - 0
TEU
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
WES
2 - 0
VFB
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VFB
1 - 1
DSV
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |