VfB Oldenburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
KFC
1 - 0
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
VFB
1 - 0
CZJ
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
SVS
5 - 0
VFB
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
VFB
1 - 3
UNT
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
MEP
2 - 1
VFB
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1997 |
M05
0 - 0
KAI
22%
25%
52%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 2
M05
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
M05
3 - 0
GUT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
LOK
3 - 0
M05
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1997 |
M05
0 - 1
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |